46º Encontro da Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria
10 a 13 de dezembro de 2024 · Natal, RN
O evento
O 46º Encontro da Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria aconteceu no SERHS Natal Grand Hotel & Resort, em Natal/RN, de 10 a 13 de dezembro de 2024.
Keynote Speakers
- Lars HansenUniversity of Chicago · Prêmio Nobel de Economia de 2013
- Ariel PakesHarvard University
- Gilat LevyLondon School of Economics
Minicursos
- Bernard SalaniéColumbia University · “Climate Change”
- Rodolfo Dinis RigatoEuropean Central Bank (ECB) · “Heterogeneous Agent New Keynesian Models”
Comitê Organizador
Presidente
- Humberto MoreiraFGV EPGE
Vice-presidente
- José Heleno FaroInsper
Coordenadora
- Flávia CheinUFJF
Membros
- Marcos NakagumaFGV EESP
- Cristine C. X. PintoInsper
- Renata NaritaPUC-Rio
- Paulo VazPIMES-UFPE
Coordenadores de programa
- Humberto MoreiraFGV EPGE
- José Heleno FaroInsper
Comitê Científico
Macroeconomia Aplicada
- Bernardo GuimarãesFGV EESP
- Emerson MarçalFGV EESP
- Felipe CamêloNew York University
- Fernando Antônio de Barros JúniorFEA-RP/USP
- Fernando MendoPUC-Rio
- Gian Paulo SoaveUFPR
- Luciene PereiraFGV EESP
- Márcio NakaneFEA-USP
- Paulo de Carvalho LinsUniversity of Rochester
- Rafael GalvãoFEA-USP
Microeconomia Aplicada
- Andrea FloresFGV EPGE
- Carolina Tojal Ramos dos SantosUniversity of Michigan
- Christian LehmannUnB
- Danilo P. SouzaFEA-USP
- Elaine Toldo PazelloFEA-RP/USP
- Juan RiosPUC-Rio
- Lucas FinamorFGV EESP
- Rafael PucciFEA-USP
- Sophie MathesFGV EPGE
- Tomas GuanziroliPUC-Rio
Econometria
- Leandro MagnussonUniversity of Western Australia
- Lucas LimaPUC-Rio
- Márcio Poletti LauriniFEA-RP/USP
Finanças
- Dimas M. FazioNational University of Singapore
- Flavio MoraesCOPPEAD/UFRJ
- Gustavo CortesUniversity of Florida
- Pedro SaffiCambridge Judge Business School
- Sergio RochaMonash University
Teoria Econômica
- Caio LorecchioUniversitat de Barcelona
- Eduardo FaingoldInsper
- Marcos RossFEA-USP
- Maria BettoNorthwestern University
Local do evento
SERHS Natal Grand Hotel & Resort — Av. Senador Dinarte Medeiros Mariz, 6045 — Natal/RN — CEP 59090-002
Anais
Anais completos
113 artigos apresentados no 46º EBE.
Econometria12 artigos
- Convolution Mode RegressionEduardo Schirmer Finn, Eduardo Horta
- Difference-in-Discontinuities: Estimation, Inference and Validity TestsPedro Picchetti, Cristine C. X. Pinto, Stéphanie T. Shinoki
- Factor-based Quantile Forecasting with Textual DataLuiz Renato Lima, Lucas Lúcio Godeiro, Jie Wei
- Gender gap competition: Evidence from a high-stakes examKelly Gonçalves dos Santos
- Inferring Real DEA-Estimators from Small Frontier Displacements: A Monte Carlo StudyVictor Maia Senna Delgado
- Instrumental Variables with Multiple Time PeriodsPedro Picchetti
- Long Story Short: Omitted Variable Bias in Causal Machine LearningVictor Chernozhukov, Carlos Cinelli, Whitney Newey, Amit Sharma, Vasilis Syrgkanis
- Modified BART for Learning Heterogeneous Effects in Regression Discontinuity DesignsRafael Campello de Alcantara, Meijia Wang, P. Richard Hahn, Hedibert Lopes
- Spatial difference-in-differences and event study: identification and application to the case of Priority List of Municipalities in the Brazilian AmazonAndré Luis Squarize Chagas, Luiza Andrade
- Synthetic Decomposition for Counterfactual PredictionsNathan Canen, Kyungchul Song
- Time-varying bias-corrected average forecastGilberto Boaretto, Marcelo C. Medeiros;
- Unobserved Competition in First-Price Auctions: A Bayesian Approach for Estimation and InferenceDaniel Lopes Ribeiro, Emmanuel Guerre;
Finanças12 artigos
- Disctracted by CryptoMatheus Carrijo de Brito, Fernando Chague, Jefferson Colombo
- Exploring time-varying efficient price of Bitcoin and Ethereum pricesDiogo de Prince Mendonça, Emerson Fernandes Marçal, Pedro L. Valls Pereira
- Firm characteristics and the cross-section of stock returns: A tale of two tailsDaniele Bianchi, Pedro Henrique Moravis Venturi
- Foreign currency borrowing and leverage adjustmentsGuilherme Cardoso, Emanuela Giacomini, Nicoletta Marinelli, Rafael Schiozer
- Integrating Sentiment-Driven Dynamics in Financial Contagion: Insights from Interbank and Social Media NetworksWagner Eduardo Schuster
- Judicial Discretion, Credit, and the Real EconomyPedro Amoni, Leonardo S. Alencar
- Market sentiment and the predictability of cryptocurrency risk premium using technical indicatorsGuilherme Vinícius Afonso Dias de Freitas, Matias A. Lima, Gustavo Y. O. Yamachi, Leandro S. Maciel;
- Oil Price Predictability and Risk Premia Based on Market FundamentalsDaniel Cuzzi, João Victor Issler
- Structured retail products: risk-sharing or risk-creation?Bruno Giovannetti, Bernardo Guimaraes, Otavio Bitu
- Subjective beliefs, disagreement, and market return predictabilityFelipe S. Iachan, Raul Riva
- The Real Costs of Washing Away Corruption: Evidence from Brazil’s Lava Jato InvestigationClaudio Ferraz, Luiz Moura, Lars Norden, Ricardo Schechtman
- Variable selection for minimum-variance portfoliosGuilherme Valle Moura, André Alves Portela Santos, Hudson S. Torrent
Macroeconomia Aplicada28 artigos
- Brazilian Tax Reform: firm dynamics, informality and a special tax regimeAloisio Araujo, Thiago Martinez, Gil Navarro
- Child Labor, Educational Attainment and Talent AllocationAlei Santos, André Portela
- Climate Policies, Production Networks and InequalityBernardo Fernandes, Pedro Ferreira
- Consumer Loans, Heterogeneous Interest Rates, and InequalityMarco Bonomo, Tiago Cavalcanti, Fernando Chertman, Amanda Fantinatti, Andrew Hannon, Cezar Santos
- Demographics and Real Interest Rates Across Countries and Over TimeCarlos Carvalho, Andrea Ferrero, Felipe Mazin, Fernanda Nechio
- Discrimination, Job Search Behavior and the Gender GapRoberta Olivieri
- Domestic vs. Foreign Law: Portfolio Dynamics of Sovereign DebtLucas Belmudes, Angelo Mendes
- Educational outcomes and enfranchisementTiago Cavalcanti, Pedro Cavalcanti Ferreira, Filipe Fiedler, Luciene Pereira, Cezar Santos
- Enforcing Labor Regulation – Monitoring and PunishmentThaline do Prado
- Expectations and Frictions: Lessons from a Quantitative Model with Dispersed InformationRafael Gonçalves, Marcel Ribeiro
- Frictionless InflationMiguel Bandeira, Laura Castillo-Martínez, Shiyuan Wang
- Green Misallocation: Allocative Efficiency and Air PollutionJefferson da Hora, Paulo Vaz
- Heterogeneous Informational Shocks a new Framework for Bias Testing of Consensus ForecastsLuciano Vereda, Helder Ferreira de Mendonça, George Morcerf
- Investment Stimulus Policy in NetworksDaniel Soares Fogo, Thiago Sevilhano Martinez, João Maria de Oliveira
- Materials, Technology and Growth: Quantifying the Costs of CircularityMarcelo Arbex, Zachary Mahone
- Mining the gap: Extracting firms’ inflation expectations from earnings callsSilvia Albrizio, Allan Dizioli, Pedro Simon
- Monetary Policy and Labor Markets in a Developing EconomyDiego B. P. Gomes, Felipe S. Iachan, Ana Paula Ruhe, Cezar Santos
- Peace and Misallocation: The case of manufacturing firms in ColombiaHaroldo Rodriguez Paez, Paulo Henrique Vaz
- Predicting U.S. Recessions in Real Time in a Big-Data SettingWagner Piazza Gaglianone, Osmani Teixeira C. Guillén, João Victor Issler, Artur Brasil Fialho Rodrigues, Farshid Vahid-Araghi
- Shock Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through – An Analysis for Latin American countriesJoão Paulo Madureira Horta da Costa, José Luiz Rossi Júnior
- Specialization, Skill Mismatch, and Labor Market RiskFernando Lopes, Cache Ellsworth
- The Macroeconomic Effects of Cash Transfers: Evidence from BrazilArthur Mendes, Wataru Miyamoto, Thuy Lan Nguyen, Steven Pennings, Leo Feler
- The not so quiet revolution: Signal and noise in Fed communicationLeonardo N. Ferreira, Caio Garzeri, Diogo Guillen, Antônio Lima, Victor Monteiro
- The welfare effects of adopting NDC pension schemes in developing economiesLucas Tolotti da Rosa, Carlos Eugenio da Costa
- Trade credit in a developing country: the role of large suppliers in the production networkMauro Cazzaniga, Pierluca Pannella, Leonardo S. Alencar
- Welfare MultipliersMehdi Bartal, Yvan Becard
- What’s in a headline? News impact on the Brazilian economyGustavo Romero Cardoso, Márcio Issao Nakane
- Why is the College Premium Falling? The Role of CompositionTomás Guanziroli, Ariadna Jou, Beatriz Rache
Microeconomia Aplicada47 artigos
- Access to loans and local development: evidence from Brazilian municipalitiesRenata Motta Café
- Affirmative action, college access and major choice: redistribution with costly strategic mistakesAna Paula Melo
- Assessing the Permanent Income Hypothesis in Poor Areas: The Case of Rural Pensions in BraziBruno Kawaoka Komatsu, Lucas Dias, Naercio Menezes-Filho
- Bem-Estar do Consumidor e Plataformas Digitais: Análise do Mercado de Food DeliverRodrigo Moita, Luan Pereira, Erica Oliveira, João Branco, Denise Li
- Can Management Improve Learning? Experimental Evidence from EducationFelipe Galvão Puccioni, Tiago Cavalcanti
- Cohabitation and Female Labor Supply: Evidence from BrazilJúlia Alves Stehmann, Renata Narita, Solange Gonçalves
- Convergent Paths? The Evolution of Racial Earnings Differences in Brazil between 1980 and 2022Alysson Lorenzon Portella, Michael França
- Corporate Campaign Donations and FirmsLina Guerra, Enlinson Mattos, Marcos Y. Nakaguma
- Decentralization, Tax Administration, and Taxation: Evidence from Brazil’s Rural Land TaxArthur Bragança, Diogo Britto, Alexandre Fonseca, Davi Moura, Breno Sampaio, André Sant’Anna, Dimitri Szerman;
- Do firms need cheaper credit to grow? Investigating the effectiveness of subsidized earmarked loansDaniel Grimaldi, Jose Renato Haas Ornelas
- Do Free Public Transport Impact Economic and Environmental Outcomes? Evidence from BrazilMateus Rodrigues, Daniel Da Mata, Vitor Possebom
- Do Landslides Impact Urbanization Patterns? Evidence from Brazilian CitiesRicardo Carvalho de Andrade Lima, Francisco Cavalcanti, Pedro Jorge Alves;
- Do local institutions impact the environment? Evidence from deforestation in BrazilPedro Henrique Batista de Barros, Ariaster Baumgratz Chimeli
- Do Relief Programs Compensate Affected Populations? Evidence from the Great Depression and the New DealAriadna Jou, Tommy Morgan
- Does others’ health count for peanuts? Health, market returns, and pro-socialityGashaw T. Abate, Tanguy Bernard, Joshua Deutschmann, Fatou Fall
- Does regional variation in wage levels identify the effects of a national minimum wage?Daniel Haanwinckel
- Does the Quota Law in Brazil Ensure the Enrollment and Graduation of Students with Disabilities in Universities?Pamella Maria Nogueira Moreira Silva, Zilania Mariano, Edward Costa
- Does University Expansion Promote Entrepreneurship?Bruna Alvarez, Bruna de Abreu Martins, Daniel Da Mata
- Equilibrium Effects of Higher Education Subsidies to Public SchoolsVinícius Botelho
- Evaluating Place-Based Policies: The Case of the FNE in BrazilDenis Fernandes Alves, Raul da Mota Silveira Neto, Tássia Germano Oliveira
- Expansion of Piped Water and Sewer Networks: The Effects of RegulationCarolina Tojal R. dos Santos, Bruna Morais Guidetti
- Fight like a Woman: Domestic Violence and Female Judges in BrazilHelena Laneuville, Vitor Possebom
- Forced Migration and Violent Crime: Evidence from the Venezuelan exodus to BrazilRenan Chicarelli Marques
- From Access to Achievement: The Primary-School-Age Impacts of an At-Scale Preschool Construction Program in Highly Deprived CommunitiesMarina Bassi, Bruno Besbas, Lelys Dinarte-Diaz, Saravana Ravindran, Ana Reynoso
- Housing, Social Cohesion and Well-Being: Evidence from Informal SettlementsLeonardo Bueno, George Avelino, Ciro Biderman, Natália S. Bueno, Daniel Da Mata
- Identifying Labor Market Power: A Quasi-Experimental ApproachJoão Galindo da Fonseca, Rogerio Santarrosa
- Impact of natural disasters on local public finance: Evidence from droughts and floods in BrazilFabio Nishida, Sergio Sakurai, Edson Severnini
- In Utero Heat Exposure and Infant Health in BrazilAndrea Flores, Lorena Hakak, Sophie Mathes
- Job Loss and Political EntryLaura Barros, Aiko Schmeißer
- Labor market informality, risk, and insuranceLucas Finamor
- Labor market returns from an elite university and affirmative action effects: Evidence from BrazilFernanda Estevan, Gabriel Leite, Louis-Philippe Morin
- Leadership and Coup Support: Evidence from 1936 SpainVitor Calafate, Lucas Carvalho, Marcos Salgado
- NoNeedfor Speed: Speed Limit Reductions Do not Increase Vehicle RobberiesJosé Eduardo Puentes Arteta
- Paying by waiting in line: Public sector queuing and the public sector wage gapHugo Jales, Felipe Araujo, Andrew Smith
- Payroll Tax, Employment and Labor Market ConcentrationErick Baumgartner, Raphael Corbi, Renata Narita
- Pricing and Informality: Evidence from Energy Theft in BrazilDavi Resende, Gabriel Richter, Marcelo Sant’Anna, André Trindade
- Promoting ExportsCecília Carvalho, Nicolas Depetris-Chauvin, Paulo Mencacci, Emanuel Ornelas, João Paulo Pessoa, Cristine Pinto, Vladimir Pinheiro Ponczek
- Renewables-Induced Displacement of Fossil Fuel Power Generation and Employment EffectsThiago Pastorelli Rodrigues, Paula Carvalho Pereda
- The Decline of Religiosity in America: Evidence from a Structural Model of Endogenous Church DifferentiationRaphael Corbi, Fabio Miessi Sanches
- The Effects of Better Houses on Infant HealthLaísa Rachter, Cecilia Machado, Helena Arruda
- The effects of residential landlord-tenant laws: New evidence from Canadian reforms using census dataDylan R. Clarke, Daniel E. Gold
- The Effects of Urban Violence on Primary Health Care Services: Evidence from Poor Neighborhoods in Rio de JaneiroVinicius Pecanha, Julia Guerra, Rudi Rocha, Christopher Millett, Thomas Hone
- The Local Multiplier Effect of Pensions: Evidence from BrazilRodrigo Toneto
- Trade Shocks and Human Capital: Evidence from Brazil’s Trade LiberalizationMarcos Y. Nakaguma, Arthur A. Viaro
- Treasure HuntingRenata Serson, Luis Meloni, Ricardo Madeira
- Why do workers of smaller firms bunch more at the kinks of the income tax schedule?Armando Barros, Luciano Greco, Enlinson Mattos
- “Peer Models”: Does the admission of high school students encourage younger peers to apply for a flagship university?Fernanda Estevana, Bruno Ferman, Gabriel Leite
Teoria Econômica14 artigos
- Applying ‘no distortion at the top’ for solving a bidimensional screening modelBraulio Calagua
- Cognition in Preferences and ChoiceMaria Fernanda Petri Betto
- Combining Combined Forecasts: A Network ApproachMarcos Ross Fernandes
- Endogenous Asymmetry in Sequential AuctionsMauricio Bugarin, Wilfredo Maldonado
- Fiscal Federalism and Monetary UnionsRafael Berriel, Eugenia Gonzalez-Aguado, Patrick J Kehoe, Elena Pastorino
- Inequality and Effciency of Fiscal RulesLaura Karpuska, Xiaohan Wang
- Infinitely repeated Cheap-talkRafael Coutinho Costa Lima, Paulo Melo-Filho
- Recursive General Equilibrium in Multi-Sector Economies: an Explicit SolutionRodrigo Raad, Kevin Reffett, Lukasz Wozny
- Regulation of Wages and HoursMatthew W. Thomas
- Resource Allocation on Networks of ExternalitiesLuiz Carpizo, Michael Crystal
- Robust Aggregation of Correlated InformationHenrique de Oliveira, Yuhta Ishii, Xiao Lin
- Salience-Biased Nested LogitAntonio Daniel Ricardo Engracia Caluz, José Heleno Faro, Fabio Miessi Sanches
- Selling to CompetitorsPëllumb Reshidi, João Thereze
- The Double-Edged Sword of Vertical Integration: Navigating Value Capture, Transaction Costs, and Information FlowsLeonardo Kluppel