45º Encontro da Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria
12 a 15 de dezembro de 2023 · Rio de Janeiro, RJ
O evento
O 45º Encontro da Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria aconteceu no Windsor Barra Hotel, no Rio de Janeiro/RJ, de 12 a 15 de dezembro de 2023.
Keynote Speakers
- Guido ImbensStanford University · Prêmio Nobel de Economia de 2021
- David AtkinMassachusetts Institute of Technology · participação online
- Hülya EraslanRice University
- Martha J. BaileyUniversity of California, Los Angeles
Minicursos
- Jeffrey M. WooldridgeMichigan State University · “Recent Advances in Difference-in-Differences with Panel Data”
- Dejanir H. SilvaPurdue University · “Macroeconomics and Risk Premia”
Comitê Organizador
Presidente
- Flávia CheinUFJF
Vice-presidente
- Ricardo FregugliaUFJF
Membros
- Bruno FermanFGV EESP
- Cristine C. X. PintoInsper
- Lucas MaestriFGV EPGE
- Paulo VazPIMES-UFPE
Coordenadores de programa
- Flávia CheinUFJF
- Ricardo FregugliaUFJF
Comitê Científico
Macroeconomia Aplicada
- David KohnPontificia Universidad Católica de Chile
- Marcelo Rodrigues dos SantosInsper
- Marcos SonnervigNew York University
- Omer OzakSouthern Methodist University
- Pierlucca PannellaFGV EESP
- Rodolfo RigatoHarvard University
- Tomás MartinezUnB
Microeconomia Aplicada
- Enlinson MattosFGV EESP
- Lucas FinamorYale University
- Luiz Felipe FontesJ-PAL
- Mounu PremEIEF
- Pedro PiresUniversity of California, Berkeley
- Priscila OliveiraUniversity of California, Berkeley
- Ricardo PolitiUFABC
- Sérgio Naruhiko SakuraiFEA-RP/USP
- Vladimir PonczekFGV EESP
Econometria
- Carolina CaetanoUniversity of Georgia
- Gustavo FreireErasmus University Rotterdam
- Otávio BartalottiMonash University
Finanças
- Gustavo AraujoBCB e FGV EPGE
- Klenio BarbosaSKEMA Business School
- Marcelo RezendeFederal Reserve Board
- Sergio HolandaMonash University
Teoria Econômica
- Henrique Roscoe de OliveiraFGV EESP
- João TherezePrinceton University
- Rafael CoutinhoUFPE
- Timo HillerPUC-Rio
Local do evento
Windsor Barra Hotel — Av. Lúcio Costa, 2630 — Barra da Tijuca — Rio de Janeiro/RJ
Anais
Anais completos
130 artigos apresentados no 45º EBE.
Econometria13 artigos
- A Spatial Extension of Synthetic Difference-in-DifferencesRenan Serenini and Frantisek Masek
- An Omitted Variable Bias Framework for Sensitivity Analysis of Instrumental VariablesCarlos Cinelli and Chad Hazlett
- Conviction, Employment, and Recidivism: Evidence from BrazilDiogo Britto, Cleyton Farias, Pinotti Paolo and Sampaio Breno
- Difference-in-Differences with a Continuous TreatmentBrantly Callaway, Andrew Goodman-Bacon and Pedro H. C. Sant’Anna
- Does monetary policy affect non-mining business investment? Evidence from administrative dataGulnara Nolan, Jonathan Hambur and Philip Vermeulen
- Estimation Risk in Conditional Asymmetric Least SquaresVictor Henriques, Marcelo Fernandes and Eduardo Mendes
- Forecasting The Yield Curves Using Macroeconomics Expectations and Time-Varying VolatilityWerley Cordeiro, Joao Caldeira and Guilherme Moura
- Identifying Dynamic LATEs with a Static InstrumentOtávio Tecchio and Bruno Ferman
- Inflation nowcasting in persistently high inflation environmentsRichard Schnorrenberger, Aishameriane Schmidt and Guilherme Moura
- Machine Learning Methods and Time Series: a Through Comparison Study via Simulation and U.S. Inflation ForecastingKlaus Boesch and Flavio Ziegelmann
- Quantile Mixture Models: Estimation and InferenceLuis Alvarez and Victor Orestes
- Was Javert Right To Be Suspicious? Marginal Treatment Effects with Censored DataSantiago Acerenza, Vitor Possebom and Pedro Sant’Anna
- What news and social media tell us about future inflation?Gilberto Boaretto, Marcelo Fernandes, Marcelo C. Medeiros and Thiago Milagres
Finanças13 artigos
- Banks’ physical footprint and financial technology adoptionBernardo Ricca, Lucas Mariani and José Renato Ornelas
- Block-Trading and Central Bank FX Transactions Announcements: Implications for Short-Term Volatility and ReturnsVictor Hugo Alexandrino, Antonio Daniel Caluz, Bruno Cavani and Igor Martins
- Currency Returns and Fundamental Sources of RiskGiuliano De Queiroz Ferreira, Alex Luiz Ferreira Ferreira, Miguel Leon-Ledesma and Rory Mullen
- Determinant Factors of Hedging and Speculation with Foreign Exchange Derivatives of Brazilian Private FirmsFernando Oliveira
- Inefficient Banking and Inflation: Evidence from Brazilian HyperinflationOtávio Moura Rubião and Marcelo Jardim Sena
- Information Leakage from Short SellersFernando Chague, Bernard Herskovic and Bruno Giovannetti
- Mandatory CEO Non-Duality, Managerial Agency, and Shareholder ValueRinaldo Guimarães and Giuseppe Trevisan
- Markets Under Siege: How Differences in Political Beliefs Can Move Financial MarketsSaumitra Jha, Peter Koudijs and Marcos Salgado
- Minority Shareholder Empowerment and Board Gender DiversityLuis Antonio Gioia Ettore
- Semivolatility-managed portfoliosDaniel Batista da Silva and Marcelo Fernandes
- Sparsity-driven factor selection: A time-varying framework for factor zoo screeningHugo Stellet
- Systemic risk and the interaction between monetary and macroprudential policiesLucas Souza Beppler, Regis Augusto Ely, Anderson Mutter Teixeira and Benjamin Miranda Tabak
- Systemic Risk Measures and Optimal Capital RequirementWesley Borges
Macroeconomia Aplicada22 artigos
- Bonds and Stocks Comovements in Brazil: Are they different?Marcio Garcia and Renan Cardoso
- Brazilian Macroeconomic Dynamics Redux: Shocks, Frictions, and Unemployment in SAMBA ModelAngelo Marsiglia Fasolo, Eurilton Araújo Jr, Marcos Valli Jorge, Alexandre Kornelius and Leonardo Sousa Gomes Marinho
- Consumption Tax Cuts vs Stimulus PaymentsYvan Becard and Mehdi Bartal
- DISTANCE TO FRONTIER, MANAGER TURNOVER, AND ECONOMIC GROWTHEduardo Correia de Souza, Priscila Fernandes Ribeiro and Alex Muranaka
- Employees or Entrepreneurs? Uncovering the pejotização phenomenon in BrazilBruna Alvarez
- Equilibrium Under Inflation TargetingAlexandre B. Cunha
- Fear and Volatility at the Zero Lower BoundFernando Mendo and Paymon Khorrami
- Global Shocks and Exchange Rate DynamicsJulio Mereb and Matthew Carl
- Labor Market Effects of Unemployment Insurance and UBI in Developing EconomiesGuilherme Gallego, Marcelo Santos, Alexandre Cunha and Bernardus van Doornik
- Leavers and Stayers after Mass Layoffs: Evidence from BrazilCarlos Carvalho, Natália Corado, Gustavo Gonzaga and Bruno Perdigão
- Misallocation and Access to Subsidized Credit: How Sensible are theWedges to a Credit Shock?Paulo Vaz and Guilherme Zambalde
- Monetary Policy and Labor Markets in a Developing EconomyFelipe Iachan, Cezar Santos, Ana Paula Ruhe and Diego Gomes
- Opaqueness and Liquidity in Over-the-Counter MarketsFernando Lopes, Ângelo Mendes and Gabriel Toledo
- Price Setting when Expectations are UnanchoredMarco Bonomo, Carlos Carvalho, João Ayres, Daniel Abib, Silvia Matos, Stefano Eusepi and Marina Perrupato
- Reassessing the Efficiency-Equity Trade-off: Progressivity’s Impact on GrowthCarlos da Costa and Artur Rodrigues
- Redistribution and Entrepreneurship in Developing EconomiesVitor Augusto Teixeira Fancio and Marcelo Santos
- Tax Reforms and Network EffectsBruno Ricardo Delalibera, Pedro Ferreira, Diego Gomes and Johann Soares
- The Effects of Public Debt with Labor-Market FrictionsCaio Bloise and Vitor Fancio
- The role of international reserves in mitigating financial shocksGabriel Pestana Guimarães, Vitor Costa and Aloísio Araújo
- Transfer Progressivity and DevelopmentLeandro De Magalhaes, Enric Martorell and Raul Santaeulalia-Llopis
- Uncovering The Causal Effects of Commodity Price ShocksAlisson Melo
- Why so gradual? Disinflation under inflation targetingMarcel Ribeiro
Microeconomia Aplicada73 artigos
- A lifecycle estimator of intergenerational income mobilityUrsula Mello
- Airborne Lead Pollution and Infant MortalityEdson Severnini, Karen Clay and Xiao Wang
- Asymmetric information in the Brazilian credit market: testing adverse selection predictionsFlavio Moraes, Felipe Iachan, Gustavo Araujo and Everton Gomes
- Base-Shifting and Higher Elasticity of Taxable Income at the Bottom: The Curious Case of BrazilFábio Ávila de Castro, Maria Eduarda Tannuri-Pianto, Marcelo Medeiros and Rafael Terra
- Behavioral Responses to Inheritance Taxes: Evidence from BrazilGedeão Locks
- Cash Transfers and The EnvironmentPaulo Mencacci, Daniel Da Mata and Vladimir Ponczek
- Collective memory and means of claims in democracies: Evidence from Chile (2019-2023)Armando Ngl Martins and Pedro Hemsley
- Conquering the Land: Electoral Coalitions and Spatial Patterns of Vote in Brazilian Municipal ElectionsGabriel Caseiro
- Credit, Entrepreneurship and Violence in Brazilian FavelasFelipe Tomkowski, Victor Monteiro and Antonio Daniel Caluz
- Cultivating Progress: The Impacts of Credit for Agricultural Investment in BrazilAndré Sant’Anna, Luciano Machado, Wagner Oliveira and Priscila Souza
- Do CCTs Create Conditions to Thrive? Bolsa Família and Social Mobility in BrazilDiogo Britto, Alexandre Fonseca, Paolo Pinotti, Breno Sampaio and Lucas Warwar
- Do labor inspections make a difference? An analysis of establishments in BrazilÍsis Lira, Laura Schiavon, Gustavo Gonzaga and Ricardo Freguglia
- Do Market and Government Interventions Affect Greenhouse Gas Emissions?Rhamon Talles, Daniel Da Mata and João P. Pessoa
- Does Access to Student Loan Impact Higher Education Indicators?Rebeca Regatieri
- Domestic Violence Law Enforcement and Women’s Labor Market ParticipationVinicius Lima
- Effect of school management improvements on the student’s social and emotional skills: Experimental evidence from BrazilRafael Barbosa
- Effects of distances on infant mortality in BrazilValdemar Pinho Neto, Cecilia Machado, Soraya Roman and Felipe Lima
- Estimated Effect of the Rede Cegonha Program on the Health of Mothers and BabiesJunia Neves and Bladimir Carrillo
- Evaluating the impact of a principals’ professional development program on school management practices: Evidence from BrazilLuis Meloni, Bruna Borges, Ricardo Madeira and Gabriel Leite
- Expertise Overlap and Team Productivity: Evidence from the Hospital IndustryDanyelle Branco, Bladimir Carrillo, Wilman Iglesias and Di Fang
- Fiscal Capacity and the Provision of Public Goods in Brazil, 1891-1930Arthur Viaro and Marcos Nakaguma
- Football and Anti-migration Sentiment: Evidence from the FIFA World CupThiago de Lucena and Giseppe Ippedico
- From Deforestation to Reforestation: The Role of Sanctions and Spillovers in Changing Farmers’ BehaviorJoão Pedro Vieira, Ricardo Dahis and Juliano Assunção
- Here Comes the Rain: Lasting Effects of Weather Shocks on Higher EducationIvan Goulart Prenhaca
- HEROES OR VILLAINS? AGRIBUSINESS LEADERS IN THE AMAZON REGIONPaulo Arvate, Gustavo Cordeiro, Joana Story and Leandro Pongeluppe
- Hidden Hostility, Donor Attention and Political ViolenceRogerio Santarrosa, Siwan Anderson, Patrick Francois and Dominic Rohner
- Home Visiting Programs at Scale: The Impacts of Program Crianca Feliz on Maternal and Child HealthVitor Pereira, Joana Costa and Miguel Foguel
- Household Electricity Default in Brazil: Evidence from Billing DataRodrigo Moita, Thiago Rodrigues, Halisson Rodrigues and Claudio Lucinda
- In the Eye of the Beholder: Peers’ expectations and long term educational outcomes in BrazilJessica Gagete Miranda and Marcos Rangel
- Industrial Activity and Land Degradation: Evidence from Slaughterhouse Openings in BrazilMario Dotta, Daniel Da Mata and Edson Severnini
- Intergenerational Mobility in the Land of InequalityDiogo Britto, Alexandre Fonseca, Paolo Pinotti, Breno Sampaio and Lucas Warwar
- Land Without Masters: local political competition since the Peruvian Land Reform (1969-1980)Hector Paredes
- Let the Water Do the Work: Climate Adaptation Policies and Labor Market OutcomesYuri Barreto, Breno Sampaio, Bladimir Carrillo, Diogo Britto, Lucas Emanuel and Daniel da Mata
- Local content in Brazilian oil and gas auctionsDavi Doneda Mittelstadt and Leonardo Bandeira Rezende
- Minimum wage and Informality in a Roy Bargaining Economy: Evidence from a Bunching EstimatorHugo Jales and Zhengfei Yu
- Multidimensional Impacts of Financial Education in Schools: Experimental Evidence from BrazilDaniele Chiavenato, Ricardo Madeira and Victor Vaccaro
- Nontariff Barriers and the Elasticity of Customs Duties EvasionEnlinson Mattos and Rafael Bressan
- Opportunistic Public Health Provision and Electoral Returns of Public Health Spending: Lessons from a Constitutional Reform in BrazilMichel Szklo
- Parenthood and Productivity: Evidence from Administrative Data in BrazilCaio de Holanda, Diogo Britto, Bruno Ferman, Alexandre Fonseca, Breno Sampaio and Lucas Warwar
- Political Turnover and Fatal Government TransitionsHelena Arruda and Rudi Rocha
- Recognizing a good deal: short-term subsidies and the dynamics of public service useJoshua Deutschmann
- Right-wing populism in the tropics: Economic crisis, the political gender gap, and the election of BolsonaroLaura Barros and Manuel Santos Silva
- Rooting for the same team: Shared social identities in a polarized contextBruno Ferman, Nicolás Ajzenman and Pedro C. Sant’Anna
- Routine-Biased Technological Change and Endogenous Skill InvestmentsBladimir Carrillo, Danyelle Branco and Wilman Iglesias
- Speed of payment in procurement contracts: the role of political connectionsThiago Scot, Ricardo Dahis and Bernardo Ricca
- Sun, Wind, and Sweat: Local Labor Impacts of Renewable Energy InvestmentsThiago Pastorelli Rodrigues and Paula Pereda
- Teacher Mindsets and Student Learning: A Randomized Intervention in Rio de JaneiroTássia Cruz
- Temperature, Effort, and AchievementAna Paula Melo and Mizuhiro Suzuki
- The Career Incentives of Children’s Health ShocksGuilherme Amorim, Diogo Britto, Alexandre Fonseca and Breno Sampaio
- The Concentration of Economic Activity Within Cities: Evidence from New Commercial BuildingsThiago Patto
- The Deforestation Effects of Trade and Agricultural Productivity in BrazilJoao Paulo Pessoa, Francisco Costa and Igor Carreira
- The Echoes of Economic Trauma: The Short and Long-term Impacts of a Seizure by the StateDaniel Araujo, Yuri Barreto and Lucas Warwar
- The Effect of a Conditional Cash Transfer on Child Marriage: Evidence from MexicoDalila Figueiredo
- The Effect of Birth Timing Manipulation around Carnival on Birth Indicators in BrazilCarolina Melo and Naercio Menezes-Filho
- The Effects of Job Loss on Entrepreneurship: Evidence from BrazilRafael Vilarouca, Daniel Da Mata and Enlinson Mattos
- The heterogeneous effects of student loans on college enrollment and degree attainmentJorge Ávila and Rafael Terra
- The Impact of Flash Floods on the Spatial Distribution of Businesses and WorkersRicardo C. A. Lima, Philipp Ehrl and Pedro Alves
- The impacts of studying abroad: Evidence from a government-sponsored scholarship program in BrazilOtávio Conceição, Rodrigo Oliveira and André Souza
- The Intergenerational Effects of Parental Leave Policies: Exploiting Forty Years of Variation in the U.S.Andrea Flores, George-Levi Gayle and Andres Hincapie
- The Kids Aren’t Alright: Parental Job Loss and Children’s Outcomes Within and Beyond SchoolsDiogo G C Britto, Caique Melo and Breno Sampaio
- The Labor Market Effects of Disability Hiring QuotasChristiane Szerman
- The long-run effect of childhood exposure to trade shocks on educational and labor market outcomes.Milena Mendonca
- The Long-Term Effect of Admission to a Top-Quality University on CrimeGiuseppe Trevisan, Breno Sampaio, Rafael P. Ribas and Suzanne Duryea
- The Oscars of Education: The effects of a Tournament Between Public SchoolsCasemiro Campos
- The U.S-China Trade War Creates Jobs (Elsewhere)Pedro Molina Ogeda
- Trade and Health: Evidence on Trade Reform, Public Health Policy, and Infant Mortality in BrazilCarlos Charris
- Trade Effects on Mortality: Evidence from China Shocks in BrazilLuca Moreno-Louzada, Rodrigo Megale and Naercio Menezes-Filho
- Understanding Migration Responses to Local ShocksRafael Dix-Carneiro, Kirill Borusyak and Brian Kovak
- VAT refunds and firms’ performance: Evidence from a withholding reform in HondurasJose Carlo Bermúdez, Thiago Scot and David Pineda Pinto
- When clouds go dry: an integrated model of deforestation, rainfall, and agricultureRafael Araujo
- When the State steps down: evidence from Police Strikes in Brazil.Andre Mancha
- Why is Trade Not Free? A Revealed Preference ApproachRodrigo Rodrigues Adao
- Women’s Career and Care Responsibilities: The Role of Migrant Domestic Workers in BrazilTiago Ferraz, Raphael Corbi and Renata Narita
Teoria Econômica9 artigos
- Accountability and Political CompetitionBraz Camargo and Arianna Degan
- Campaign Spending, Media Capture, and Political AccountabilityVinícius Tiné and Rafael Costa Lima
- Fear of communism: a political theory of land reform in democraciesMarcelo de C. Griebeler
- Incentives in three-sided marketsJorge Arenas Molina and Juan Pablo Torres-Martínez
- Information Acquisition in Selection MarketsJoao Thereze
- Monitoring, Disclosure, and RetaliationHenrique Castro-Pires
- Optimal Risk Sharing and Incentive Provision in Social Security Systems: A Mechanism Design ApproachRafael Berriel and Carlos da Costa
- Staggered Rollout for Innovation AdoptionRicardo Fonseca
- Time Trumps Quantity in the Market for LemonsHumberto Moreira, Piero Gottardi and William Fuchs